I'm a big fan of all those year/decade retrospectives and year/decade prediction lists that appear this time of year.
Just for fun - and to keep what we do in the content, document, and records space in a bit of perspective - here on the left side of this post is the Google predictive text for "2010 predictions." So I guess we have a bit of a way to go before our industry is top of mind. Hey, there's a big surprise!
Before venturing into my own (modest) predictions in a future post, here are a few I really found intriguing -- by people way smarter than me.
John Newton is a new member of the AIIM Board and someone who I have always admired for his frank perspectives on our crazy industry. Here are John Newton's ten ECM predictions for 2010:
- The economy's effect on ECM
- ECM in the developing world
- SharePoint in 2010
- The E in ECM
- WCM and ECM
- The Cloud and ECM
- CMIS
- Content Platforms vs. Content Applications
- Open Source Makes Strange Bedfellows
- Social Software and ECM
As both a competitor and a partner, CMS Watch always has interesting things to say. Here are their 2010 content technology predictions:
- Enterprise Content Management and Document Management will go their separate ways
- Faceted search will pervade enterprise applications
- Digital Asset Management vendors will focus on SharePoint integration over geographic expansion
- Mobile will come of age for Document Management and Enterprise Search
- WCM vendors will give more love to Intranets
- Enterprises will lead thick client backlash
- Cloud alternatives will become pervasive
- Document Services will become an integrated part of ECM
- Gadgets and Widgets will sweep the Portal world
- Records Managers face renewed resistance
- Internal and external social and collaboration technologies will diverge
- Multi-lingual requirements will rise to the fore
The Big Men on Content blog has issued six content management predictions for 2010, and they are quite provocative. They would deserve a place on the list if for no other reason than the awesome tagline on their blog -- "Opinions and discussions on content management by two of the biggest guys in the business (measured by weight not by volume)."
- Open Text Will Acquire Another ECM Vendor
- SharePoint Will Force Specialization in the ECM Market
- Major ECM Vendors Will Stop Positioning Themselves as ECM Vendors
- SharePoint Archiving Will Be THE BIG Topic in Q4 ‘10
- Cloud ECM Business Models Will Dampen The Hype
- WCM Will Remain A Boring Topic
This next list is more of a 2009 retrospective and also reaches beyond ECM a bit. I include it because I am a big fan of the "This Week in Google" podcast and Gina Trapani's Google Wave Guide (both for it's content and as a future model for publishing). I also include it because Google is just so intriguing. As they continue to lead the way in using their advertising-driven engine to upset business model after business model, who's next?
- Google's Three Biggest Launches of 2009
- Chromium OS
- Google Wave
- Android 2.0/Droid
- Google's Most Updated Apps of 2009
- Search Engine Upgrades
- Gmail
- Chrome web browser
- Google's 2009 Product Release Calendar
There's obviously a lot of hype out there related to cloud computing. Appirio offers these ten predictions about cloud computing (and used a crowdsourcing model to generate them):
- Cloud developer community grows faster than open-source
- Cloud standards won't (and shouldn't) happen
- Cloud providers tackle lock-in
- Cloud integration will get an enterprise poster-child
- Enterprise apps get Googled
- Enterprise collaboration is a feature, not a business
- Microsoft lets Azure cannibalize a global account
- Cloud computing consolidation
- Global Systems Integrators will do nothing more than cloud marketing
- The real innovation will be in the business of cloud computing, not the technology.
And from a Blogging Basics 101 article by Melanie Nelson rounding up some of her favorite retrospectives on 2009: