My Favorite 2010 ECM and Technology Predictions
John Mancini

By: John Mancini on January 4th, 2010

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My Favorite 2010 ECM and Technology Predictions

Cloud  |  Enterprise Content Management (ECM)  |  Document Management

Picture 967I'm a big fan of all those year/decade retrospectives and year/decade prediction lists that appear this time of year.

Just for fun - and to keep what we do in the content, document, and records space in a bit of perspective - here on the left side of this post is the Google predictive text for "2010 predictions." So I guess we have a bit of a way to go before our industry is top of mind. Hey, there's a big surprise!

Before venturing into my own (modest) predictions in a future post, here are a few I really found intriguing -- by people way smarter than me.

 

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John Newton is a new member of the AIIM Board and someone who I have always admired for his frank perspectives on our crazy industry. Here are John Newton's ten ECM predictions for 2010:

  • The economy's effect on ECM
  • ECM in the developing world
  • SharePoint in 2010
  • The E in ECM
  • WCM and ECM
  • The Cloud and ECM
  • CMIS
  • Content Platforms vs. Content Applications
  • Open Source Makes Strange Bedfellows
  • Social Software and ECM

As both a competitor and a partner, CMS Watch always has interesting things to say. Here are their 2010 content technology predictions:

  • Enterprise Content Management and Document Management will go their separate ways
  • Faceted search will pervade enterprise applications
  • Digital Asset Management vendors will focus on SharePoint integration over geographic expansion
  • Mobile will come of age for Document Management and Enterprise Search
  • WCM vendors will give more love to Intranets
  • Enterprises will lead thick client backlash
  • Cloud alternatives will become pervasive
  • Document Services will become an integrated part of ECM
  • Gadgets and Widgets will sweep the Portal world
  • Records Managers face renewed resistance
  • Internal and external social and collaboration technologies will diverge
  • Multi-lingual requirements will rise to the fore

The Big Men on Content blog has issued six content management predictions for 2010, and they are quite provocative. They would deserve a place on the list if for no other reason than the awesome tagline on their blog -- "Opinions and discussions on content management by two of the biggest guys in the business (measured by weight not by volume)."

  • Open Text Will Acquire Another ECM Vendor
  • SharePoint Will Force Specialization in the ECM Market
  • Major ECM Vendors Will Stop Positioning Themselves as ECM Vendors
  • SharePoint Archiving Will Be THE BIG Topic in Q4 ‘10
  • Cloud ECM Business Models Will Dampen The Hype
  • WCM Will Remain A Boring Topic

This next list is more of a 2009 retrospective and also reaches beyond ECM a bit. I include it because I am a big fan of the "This Week in Google" podcast and Gina Trapani's Google Wave Guide (both for it's content and as a future model for publishing). I also include it because Google is just so intriguing. As they continue to lead the way in using their advertising-driven engine to upset business model after business model, who's next?

  • Google's Three Biggest Launches of 2009
    • Chromium OS
    • Google Wave
    • Android 2.0/Droid
  • Google's Most Updated Apps of 2009
    • Search Engine Upgrades
    • Gmail
    • Chrome web browser
  • Google's 2009 Product Release Calendar

There's obviously a lot of hype out there related to cloud computing. Appirio offers these ten predictions about cloud computing (and used a crowdsourcing model to generate them):

  • Cloud developer community grows faster than open-source
  • Cloud standards won't (and shouldn't) happen
  • Cloud providers tackle lock-in
  • Cloud integration will get an enterprise poster-child
  • Enterprise apps get Googled
  • Enterprise collaboration is a feature, not a business
  • Microsoft lets Azure cannibalize a global account
  • Cloud computing consolidation
  • Global Systems Integrators will do nothing more than cloud marketing
  • The real innovation will be in the business of cloud computing, not the technology.

And from a Blogging Basics 101 article by Melanie Nelson rounding up some of her favorite retrospectives on 2009:

 

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About John Mancini

John Mancini is the President of Content Results, LLC and the Past President of AIIM. He is a well-known author, speaker, and advisor on information management, digital transformation and intelligent automation. John is a frequent keynote speaker and author of more than 30 eBooks on a variety of topics. He can be found on Twitter, LinkedIn and Facebook as jmancini77. Recent keynote topics include: The Stairway to Digital Transformation Navigating Disruptive Waters — 4 Things You Need to Know to Build Your Digital Transformation Strategy Getting Ahead of the Digital Transformation Curve Viewing Information Management Through a New Lens Digital Disruption: 6 Strategies to Avoid Being “Blockbustered” Specialties: Keynote speaker and writer on AI, RPA, intelligent Information Management, Intelligent Automation and Digital Transformation. Consensus-building with Boards to create strategic focus, action, and accountability. Extensive public speaking and public relations work Conversant and experienced in major technology issues and trends. Expert on inbound and content marketing, particularly in an association environment and on the Hubspot platform. John is a Phi Beta Kappa graduate of the College of William and Mary, and holds an M.A. in Public Policy from the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University.